The
long-term fiscal and
political stability of
stronger African nations in
modern times is directly
threatened by “failed
states,” largely due to a
number of factors such as
ineffective and weak
opposition parties, the
proliferation of conflicts
and humanitarian crises.
Consequently,
the problems posed by the
failed African states
continue to pose a stark
distraction to moving the
continent forward in the
global efforts to empower
those nations.
The
focus on failed African
states is germane to this
discussion due to the fact
that the continent maintains
the dubious and notorious
distinction of having some
of the worst humanitarian
and civil conflicts, and
must rely on international
donor assistance and
peacekeeping to exist.
Today,
the International Crisis
Group, (ICG) reports that
conflict situations for the
very weak nations from
Burundi in East Africa to
Sierra Leone in West
Africa requires close
monitoring, judicial and
security reforms in some of
these countries, to vigorous
enforcement of international
fiscal oversight of
government accounting.
French
President Jacques Chirac has
expressed his own concern
about the failed
states when he said,
“World leaders that once
worried about who was
amassing power now worry
about the absence of it.”
Failed
states have shown overtime
that they can effectively
and markedly threaten their
neighbor's stability. For
example, the Mano River
basin in West Africa made up
of the countries of Liberia,
Guinea and Ivory Coast
remains a fragile region,
which has exported its brand
of rebel incursions.
Rebels
from the Mano River basin
are now being recruited to
provide the “muscle” for
all sides in another West
African hotspot - Cote
d’Ivoire. This country
risk immediate collapse
without the continued
presence of United Nations
peacekeeping personnel.
This
sub region remains an
attractive magnet for black
market gun-running,
international drug
trafficking, export and
exchange of “blood
diamonds’ for arms and a
haven for international
terrorists seeking a base
for launching attacks
against Western interests
and their allies.
For
example, the former Liberian
President Charles Taylor’s
regime is reported to have
harbored and facilitated the
movement of Al Qaeda
operatives in Monrovia in
addition to doing “Diamond
trade” with them. Al Qaeda
has claimed responsibility
for some of the worst terror
attacks against the United
States and its allies in
recent years and continue to
pose a threat.
Root
Causes:
It
is generally believed that
democracy presents the best
alternative to dictatorship
and non-representative
government, which breed the
use or illegal and
unconstitutional accession
to state power. And so then
the primary question for the
pursuance of democracy in
most African states is what
is the basis of the state,
and the reason to be?
The
answer to this question is
bound to produce a fair
amount of dissension.
Logically, this dissension
and its supporters, the
minority, must have a
genuine way to channel their
grievances and seek redress
in an organized fashion -
thus - opposition political
parties in a democracy.
However,
just being the opposition
party in name or during an
election year is not a
panacea for the effective
practice of democracy.
Failed or ineffective
opposition parties across
Africa, over the years have,
in a way, contributed to the
alienation of a large group
of the national population
for which the parties were
organized in the first
place. Not all their
troubles are self-induced.
Some stem from election laws
or government policies that
weigh heavily against them.
Some
African leaders have taken
advantage of this vacuum of
an “opposition political
party on paper only” and
metamorphosed into
“monsters” and record
breaking human rights
violators. Incumbent leaders
will apportion and utilize
unlimited power as they can
get away without any check
and or balance. In the
Central African Republic,
former President Jean Bedell
Bokasa became Emperor Bokasa
amidst unconfirmed reports
of cannibalism.
Poor
in resources and unable to
rejuvenate themselves, most
African opposition political
parties appeared set to
continue to play a minor
role for a long time.
The
fractious opposition in
Zimbabwe has unwittingly
allowed President Robert
Mugabe to mislead his nation
into economic depravity and
hunger. All of the
ingredients for a violent
uprising and regional
instability such as - a
disaffected military,
marginalized population,
human rights abuses, and
gradual collapse of social
and political institutions -
may be present in this
Southern African country
which was once the bread
basket of that region.
In
Guinea, current President
Lansana Conte seized power
in a military coup in 1984,
and managed to transfer to a
civilian government in 1993,
based on the 1990
constitution. President
Conte strengthened power
through harassment of
opposition, students and the
press. The constitutional
amendment approved in
November 2001, extended the
presidential term from five
to seven years. The December
2003 presidential election
was widely considered
fraudulent, with Mr. Conte
winning over 95 per cent of
the vote.
The
opposition in Guinea has
been decimated by the
government through
harrassment. There is no
effective national and
united campaign to challenge
President Conte. The
resultant is the slow demise
and steady deterioration of
social and political
institutions in that
country.
The
fear in Guinea is how the
vacuum of state power will
be filled upon the demise of
President Conte at some
point.
In
Liberia, diplomatic and
human rights sources are
already grumbling about the
“no show” of the
opposition since the
inauguration of the Ellen
Johnson Sirleaf
Administration. It appears,
due to high poverty level,
most opposition politicians
would rather hustle for a
government job under the
guise of the “need for an
inclusive” government
rather than fulfill their
obligation of representing
and projecting the views and
interests of the minority.
The age old argument of some
of these opposition
politicians is “I have to
eat before I talk
politics.”
Recently
in South Africa, the ruling
African National Congress
(ANC) swept the local polls
as a result of a weak and
non-credible opposition’s
failure to capitalize on the
Thabo Mbeki government’s
failure to address the
glaring poverty conditions
affecting about 23 million
South Africans, a 26 percent
unemployment rate and bitter
infighting in the ANC.
AN
EFFECTIVE OPPOSITION
ROAD-MAP
Opposition
political parties in most
African countries must first
identify their rights as
guaranteed in the national
constitution, and must
vigorously exercise those
rights.
A
credible opposition in
Africa today must
demonstrate that it is
viable, credible and, above
all, can focus on
maintaining a national
presence rather than ethnic
loyalties. They must see
themselves as a
government-in-waiting fully
capable of participating in
the national life of the
nation, and not merely a
party out of power. Its own
philosophy and ideology must
appeal to the largest and
ethnically blind populace as
possible to merit any
relevance.
The
opposition must also work
diligently to attract the
best minds locally that can
research, develop and apply
political, social, fiscal
and economic alternatives to
national issues for the
general good of the nation.
Another
ideal is the formation of a
united opposition climate
such as building alliances
and constituency building
capacity in an effort to
yield a credible
representation in elections.
Long term planning for
political maturity and
ultimate governance is not a
luxury either.
And
so in an effort to break the
cycle of contributing to one
party state, dictatorship
and failed nations, the
African opposition must
transcend “protest
politics” and elect a path
to national relevance.
Emmanuel
Abalo is an exiled Liberian
journalist, media and human
rights activist.